
\begin{table}
\caption{Regression estimates of the association between prior foreign aid (using aid commitment volumes from AidData) and CPA implementation at the post-CPA year level, without control variables. Implementation scores range from 2 to 95. See text for detailed description of estimators.}
\begin{center}
\begin{scriptsize}
\begin{tabular}{l D{.}{.}{5.3} D{.}{.}{3.3} D{.}{.}{3.3}}
\toprule
 & \multicolumn{1}{c}{Within-Between random effects for post-conflict periods} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{Prais-Winsten FGLS with conflict-specific AR(1) autocorrelation and PCSEs} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{Country FE and robust SEs} \\
\midrule
AidData Foreign aid commitments (within effect)    & 6.95^{*}   &            &            \\
                                                   & (2.48)     &            &            \\
AidData Foreign aid commitments (between effect)   & 43.34^{*}  &            &            \\
                                                   & (18.21)    &            &            \\
AidData Foreign aid commitments (composite effect) &            & 6.67^{*}   & 6.94^{*}   \\
                                                   &            & (3.17)     & (2.73)     \\
Years since conflict (logged)                      & 15.80^{*}  & 15.92^{*}  & 16.63^{*}  \\
                                                   & (0.98)     & (0.70)     & (1.64)     \\
Transitional power sharing government              & 4.23       & -3.15      & 29.54^{*}  \\
                                                   & (10.49)    & (4.11)     & (7.62)     \\
Dispute resolution committee                       & 21.73^{*}  & 12.15^{*}  &            \\
                                                   & (10.23)    & (2.18)     &            \\
Female signatories                                 & 10.79      & 10.49^{*}  &            \\
                                                   & (18.47)    & (4.85)     &            \\
Conflict duration (logged)                         & 2.49       & 0.33       & -50.45^{*} \\
                                                   & (4.73)     & (1.77)     & (4.34)     \\
Battle deaths during conflict (logged)             & -1.88      & 1.36       &            \\
                                                   & (3.93)     & (1.15)     &            \\
Territorial conflict                               & -9.95      & -10.59^{*} &            \\
                                                   & (14.74)    & (4.81)     &            \\
Years with mediation  (logged)                     & 0.49       & -4.28      & -61.31^{*} \\
                                                   & (11.24)    & (4.09)     & (5.92)     \\
New leader since CPA                               & -0.34      & -0.70      & -0.05      \\
                                                   & (1.97)     & (2.07)     & (2.36)     \\
Population (logged)                                & -0.50      & -3.06      & -9.55      \\
                                                   & (7.45)     & (3.61)     & (14.41)    \\
GDP (IHS transformation, lagged)                   & -12.00^{*} & 1.46       & -13.95^{*} \\
                                                   & (3.18)     & (3.62)     & (3.54)     \\
Economic growth                                    & 0.11       & -0.00      & 0.11       \\
                                                   & (0.09)     & (0.09)     & (0.09)     \\
Excluded population                                & 0.49       & -4.17      & -0.66      \\
                                                   & (4.27)     & (3.93)     & (4.98)     \\
Natural resources                                  & -16.76     & -8.71^{*}  &            \\
                                                   & (13.62)    & (2.22)     &            \\
Democracy                                          & 1.41       & 0.18       & 1.36       \\
                                                   & (2.16)     & (2.34)     & (2.28)     \\
GDP per capita before conflict (logged)            & 18.68^{*}  & 2.21       &            \\
                                                   & (6.53)     & (4.23)     &            \\
Civil war in neighboring country                   & -4.63^{*}  & -2.87^{*}  & -4.65^{*}  \\
                                                   & (1.41)     & (1.35)     & (1.74)     \\
Foreign policy similarity with US                  & 3.66       & 13.25^{*}  & 1.39       \\
                                                   & (8.43)     & (6.72)     & (7.37)     \\
UN PKO troops (logged)                             & 0.23       & 0.40       & 0.19       \\
                                                   & (0.32)     & (0.21)     & (0.29)     \\
UN PKO police (logged)                             & -0.12      & -0.17      & -0.07      \\
                                                   & (0.45)     & (0.30)     & (0.35)     \\
Region fixed effects (baseline: East Asia)         &            &            &            \\
                                                   &            &            &            \\
\quad Europe & Central Asia                        & -7.10      & -8.45      &            \\
                                                   & (19.61)    & (5.28)     &            \\
\quad Latin America & Caribbean                    & -22.02     & -15.81^{*} &            \\
                                                   & (29.96)    & (6.35)     &            \\
\quad Middle East & North Africa                   & -41.79     & -25.32     &            \\
                                                   & (25.60)    & (13.00)    &            \\
\quad South Asia                                   & 4.38       & -22.87^{*} &            \\
                                                   & (29.46)    & (9.33)     &            \\
\quad Sub-Saharan Africa                           & -5.21      & -7.49      &            \\
                                                   & (16.88)    & (4.73)     &            \\
Intercept                                          & 186.79^{*} & 48.76      &            \\
                                                   & (90.85)    & (27.33)    &            \\
\midrule
AIC                                                & 2273.23    &            &            \\
BIC                                                & 2390.34    &            &            \\
Log Likelihood                                     & -1105.62   &            &            \\
Num. obs.                                          & 323        & 323        & 323        \\
Num. groups: pam\_caseid                           & 34         &            &            \\
Num. groups: pam\_year\_count                      & 10         &            &            \\
Var: pam\_caseid (Intercept)                       & 403.97     &            &            \\
Var: pam\_year\_count (Intercept)                  & 0.00       &            &            \\
Var: Residual                                      & 57.22      &            &            \\
R$^2$                                              &            & 0.86       & 0.90       \\
Num. groups                                        &            & 34         &            \\
Adj. R$^2$                                         &            &            & 0.88       \\
RMSE                                               &            &            & 7.55       \\
\bottomrule
\multicolumn{4}{l}{\tiny{Standard errors in parentheses. $^* p < 0.05$ (two-tailed test).}}
\end{tabular}
\end{scriptsize}
\label{tab:m_aidd_comm_r2}
\end{center}
\end{table}
